Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMusanze to win ✗44% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.68
Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze preview and prediction
The match
Etoile de l'Est host Musanze in the National Soccer League on Wednesday 4 November, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Etoile de l'Est are 14th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Musanze sit 9th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Etoile de l'Est's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Gorilla 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Musanze's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Amagaju 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Musanze arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Etoile de l'Est and 1.1 for Musanze. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Etoile de l'Est 32%, draw 24%, Musanze 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.09.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.09 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Etoile de l'Est 0–1 Musanze. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Etoile de l'Est32%fair 3.14 · @2.83
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.82
Musanze44%fair 2.25 · @2.41
2.03Expected goals
0.89Etoile de l'Est xG
1.13Musanze xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Etoile de l'Est 0.9 – 1.1 Musanze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Musanze to win✗
44%
2.25
2.41 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.09 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.51
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Musanze / FT Musanze✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.68
–
Form
Etoile de l'Est – last 6
DDDLLD
31 Oct
vs Gorilla
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Sunrise
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Mukura
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Al Merreikh
0–3
L
15 Sep
vs Gicumbi
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs AS Kigali
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Musanze – last 6
WWLLLW
31 Oct
@ Amagaju
3–1
W
25 Oct
vs Police
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Rayon Sports
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Gasogi United
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Etincelles
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Kiyovu Sports
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Etoile de l'Est and Musanze.
What is the prediction for Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
On our numbers Etoile de l'Est have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Musanze 44%.
How many goals will there be in Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
Our predicted score is Etoile de l'Est 0–1 Musanze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze?
Etoile de l'Est vs Musanze (National Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
