Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.41 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBugesera to win ✓48% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Bugesera vs Amagaju preview and prediction
The match
The National Soccer League sees Bugesera take on Amagaju on Wednesday 4 November, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Bugesera are 8th with 9 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Amagaju sit 13th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bugesera's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Police 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Amagaju's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Musanze 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bugesera arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Bugesera 0–0 Amagaju.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Bugesera and 0.9 for Amagaju. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bugesera 48%, draw 23%, Amagaju 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Bugesera 1–0 Amagaju. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bugesera48%fair 2.10 · @2.04
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.93
Amagaju29%fair 3.44 · @3.44
2.11Expected goals
1.24Bugesera xG
0.87Amagaju xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bugesera 1.2 – 0.9 Amagaju expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Bugesera vs Amagaju?
On our numbers Bugesera have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Amagaju 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bugesera vs Amagaju?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bugesera vs Amagaju?
Our predicted score is Bugesera 1–0 Amagaju, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bugesera vs Amagaju?
Bugesera vs Amagaju (National Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
