Value bet: Kiyovu Sports to win @ 2.13 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKiyovu Sports to win ✓50% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.27
Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports preview and prediction
The match
Etincelles host Kiyovu Sports in the National Soccer League on Wednesday 4 November, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Umuganda Stadium. Etincelles are 17th with 7 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Kiyovu Sports sit 6th on 10 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Etincelles's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to APR 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kiyovu Sports's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat AS Kigali 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Etincelles 0–0 Kiyovu Sports.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.7 for Etincelles and 1.1 for Kiyovu Sports. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Kiyovu Sports to win at 2.13 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Etincelles 0–1 Kiyovu Sports. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Etincelles27%fair 3.76 · @3.24
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.91
Kiyovu Sports50%fair 2.00 · @2.13
1.75Expected goals
0.66Etincelles xG
1.09Kiyovu Sports xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–017%
1–112%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Etincelles 0.7 – 1.1 Kiyovu Sports expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?
On our numbers Etincelles have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kiyovu Sports 50%.
How many goals will there be in Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?
Our predicted score is Etincelles 0–1 Kiyovu Sports, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports?
Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sports (National Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Umuganda Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
