Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.83
Colombia vs Peru preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Colombia take on Peru on Wednesday 7 October, kicking off at 00:45 (WAT) at Hard Rock Stadium.
Form guide
Colombia's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Paraguay 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Peru's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Canada 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Colombia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Colombia and 0.7 for Peru. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colombia 69%, draw 21%, Peru 10%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Colombia to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Colombia 2–0 Peru. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colombia69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
Peru10%fair 9.89 · @7.50
2.92Expected goals
2.18Colombia xG
0.74Peru xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Colombia 2.2 – 0.7 Peru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colombia to win✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
Colombia or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Colombia ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colombia / FT Colombia✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
13%
7.83
–
Form
Colombia – last 6
LDDWDW
3 Oct
vs Paraguay
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Mexico
1–1
D
7 Jul
@ Switzerland
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Ghana
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs Portugal
0–0
D
24 Jun
vs Congo DR
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Peru – last 6
LDLLWD
3 Oct
@ Canada
0–2
L
30 Sep
@ Mexico
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ USA
1–4
L
9 Jun
vs Spain
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Haiti
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Honduras
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Peru.
Our pick is Colombia to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Colombia vs Peru?
On our numbers Colombia have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Peru 10%.
How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Peru?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Peru?
Our predicted score is Colombia 2–0 Peru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Colombia vs Peru?
Colombia vs Peru (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 00:45 (West Africa Time) at Hard Rock Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentina3
Benin0
USA1
Canada0
Mexico0
Chile2