Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMexico to win ✗63% · @1.57
Double chanceMexico or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Mexico vs Chile preview and prediction
The match
Chile travel to Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in the Friendlies on Wednesday 7 October (03:30 WAT) to face Mexico.
Form guide
Mexico's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to USA 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chile's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to USA 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Mexico and 0.7 for Chile. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mexico 63%, draw 19%, Chile 18%.
Safer route: Mexico or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mexico to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Mexico 1–0 Chile. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mexico63%fair 1.59 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.70
Chile18%fair 5.55 · @5.00
2.47Expected goals
1.72Mexico xG
0.75Chile xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mexico 1.7 – 0.7 Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mexico to win✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Double chance
Mexico or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mexico / FT Mexico✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
Mexico – last 6
LDDLWW
4 Oct
@ USA
0–3
L
30 Sep
vs Peru
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Colombia
1–1
D
6 Jul
vs England
2–3
L
1 Jul
vs Ecuador
2–0
W
25 Jun
@ Czechia
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chile – last 6
LLWLLW
30 Sep
@ USA
2–4
L
27 Sep
@ Canada
0–1
L
9 Jun
@ Congo DR
2–1
W
6 Jun
@ Portugal
1–2
L
30 Mar
@ New Zealand
1–4
L
27 Mar
vs Cape Verde Islands
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mexico and Chile.
Our pick is Mexico to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mexico vs Chile?
On our numbers Mexico have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chile 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mexico vs Chile?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs Chile?
Our predicted score is Mexico 1–0 Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mexico vs Chile?
Mexico vs Chile (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentina3
Benin0
Colombia2
Peru0
USA1
Canada0