Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 55% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +93%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗55% · @3.50
Double chanceGoa or draw ✗78% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Goa vs Regar-TadAZ preview and prediction
The match
Goa host Regar-TadAZ in the AFC Challenge League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 14:25 (WAT) at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium.
Form guide
Goa's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Chennaiyin 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Regar-TadAZ's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Barki Tajik 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Regar-TadAZ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Goa and 1.4 for Regar-TadAZ. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Goa 23%, draw 55%, Regar-TadAZ 22%.
Safer route: Goa or draw (78%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Draw at 3.50 – 55% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Goa or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Goa 1–1 Regar-TadAZ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goa23%fair 4.42 · @2.38
Draw55%fair 1.81 · @3.50
Regar-TadAZ22%fair 4.50 · @2.45
2.89Expected goals
1.45Goa xG
1.44Regar-TadAZ xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Goa 1.5 – 1.4 Regar-TadAZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.81
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Goa or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goa / FT Goa✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.62
–
Form
Goa – last 6
DLLDLW
10 Oct
vs Chennaiyin
1–1
D
12 Aug
@ Arkadag
0–3
L
18 May
@ Kerala Blasters
1–2
L
9 May
vs ATK Mohun Bagan
1–1
D
1 May
@ Jamshedpur
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ NorthEast United
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Regar-TadAZ – last 6
WWDLWW
10 Oct
vs Barki Tajik
2–0
W
17 Sep
@ Khatlon
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Khujand
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Khosilot Farkhor
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Parvoz
3–1
W
12 Aug
@ Maziya
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goa and Regar-TadAZ.
Our pick is Goa or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
On our numbers Goa have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Regar-TadAZ 22%.
How many goals will there be in Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
Our predicted score is Goa 1–1 Regar-TadAZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Goa vs Regar-TadAZ?
Goa vs Regar-TadAZ (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:25 (West Africa Time) at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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