Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAluminium Arak to win ✗46% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.05
Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad preview and prediction
The match
Aluminium Arak host Kheybar Khorramabad in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Friday 28 August, with kick-off at 16:45 (WAT) at Imam Khomeini. Aluminium Arak are 6th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Kheybar Khorramabad sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aluminium Arak's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Shams Azar Qazvin 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kheybar Khorramabad's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Paykan 2–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Aluminium Arak and 0.9 for Kheybar Khorramabad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 53% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Aluminium Arak 1–1 Kheybar Khorramabad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aluminium Arak46%fair 2.18 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.85
Kheybar Khorramabad30%fair 3.32 · @3.20
2.17Expected goals
1.24Aluminium Arak xG
0.93Kheybar Khorramabad xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aluminium Arak 1.2 – 0.9 Kheybar Khorramabad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aluminium Arak to win✗
46%
2.18
2.33 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aluminium Arak / FT Aluminium Arak✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.05
–
Form
Aluminium Arak – last 5
DDWDD
23 Aug
@ Shams Azar Qazvin
2–2
D
18 Aug
vs Chadormalu SC
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Paykan
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Shams Azar Qazvin
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Kheybar Khorramabad – last 6
LDDLWW
24 Aug
vs Paykan
2–3
L
19 Aug
@ Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Fajr Sepasi
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Chadormalu SC
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Persepolis FC
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Malavan
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aluminium Arak and Kheybar Khorramabad.
What is the prediction for Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
On our numbers Aluminium Arak have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kheybar Khorramabad 30%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Our predicted score is Aluminium Arak 1–1 Kheybar Khorramabad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Imam Khomeini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
