Value bet: Paykan to win @ 2.50 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaykan to win ✗47% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.38
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.95
Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan preview and prediction
The match
Esteghlal Khuzestan travel to face Paykan in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Friday 28 August (16:30 WAT). Paykan are 11th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Esteghlal Khuzestan sit 13th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paykan's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Kheybar Khorramabad 3–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Esteghlal Khuzestan's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Nassaji Mazandaran 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Paykan and 0.9 for Esteghlal Khuzestan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 32%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Paykan to win at 2.50 – 47% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Paykan 1–0 Esteghlal Khuzestan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paykan47%fair 2.11 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.60
Esteghlal Khuzestan27%fair 3.71 · @3.20
2.21Expected goals
1.31Paykan xG
0.90Esteghlal Khuzestan xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Paykan 1.3 – 0.9 Esteghlal Khuzestan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paykan to win✗
47%
2.11
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paykan / FT Paykan✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.95
–
Form
Paykan – last 6
WDLDDL
24 Aug
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
3–2
W
18 Aug
vs Gol Gohar
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Tractor Sazi
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Sepahan FC
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Aluminium Arak
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Mes Rafsanjan
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Esteghlal Khuzestan – last 5
DLLLW
23 Aug
vs Nassaji Mazandaran
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Persepolis FC
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Aluminium Arak
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Sepahan FC
1–3
L
13 Feb
vs Fajr Sepasi
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paykan and Esteghlal Khuzestan.
What is the prediction for Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
On our numbers Paykan have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Esteghlal Khuzestan 27%.
How many goals will there be in Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Our predicted score is Paykan 1–0 Esteghlal Khuzestan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
