Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.70 – our chance 51% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSəbail to win ✓67% · @1.20
Double chanceSəbail or draw ✓84% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.04
Zaqatala vs Səbail preview and prediction
The match
Səbail travel to face Zaqatala in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 15 October (12:00 WAT). Zaqatala are 8th with 5 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Səbail sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Zaqatala's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Şahdağ 0–6 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Səbail's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Karvan 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Səbail arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Zaqatala 0–3 Səbail.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Zaqatala and 2.1 for Səbail. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zaqatala 16%, draw 17%, Səbail 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.70.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.70 – 51% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Səbail to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Zaqatala 0–2 Səbail. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zaqatala16%fair 6.21 · @11.00
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @5.00
Səbail67%fair 1.50 · @1.20
3.00Expected goals
0.89Zaqatala xG
2.11Səbail xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Zaqatala 0.9 – 2.1 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zaqatala vs Səbail?
On our numbers Zaqatala have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Səbail 67%.
How many goals will there be in Zaqatala vs Səbail?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Zaqatala 0–2 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Zaqatala vs Səbail?
Zaqatala vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
