Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultŞimal to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Mingəçevir vs Şimal preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Mingəçevir take on Şimal on Thursday 15 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Mingəçevir are 9th with 4 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while Şimal sit 6th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mingəçevir's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to MOIK 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Şimal's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Xankəndi FK 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Şimal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 April 2026, finished Şimal 0–3 Mingəçevir.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Mingəçevir and 1.7 for Şimal. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mingəçevir 36%, draw 19%, Şimal 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Mingəçevir 1–1 Şimal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mingəçevir36%fair 2.79 · @2.75
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.60
Şimal45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
3.13Expected goals
1.46Mingəçevir xG
1.67Şimal xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Mingəçevir 1.5 – 1.7 Şimal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
On our numbers Mingəçevir have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Şimal 45%.
How many goals will there be in Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
Our predicted score is Mingəçevir 1–1 Şimal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mingəçevir vs Şimal?
Mingəçevir vs Şimal (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
