Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Machida Zelvia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓24% · fair 4.22
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia preview and prediction
The match
Shanghai Shenhua host Machida Zelvia in the AFC Cup on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 13:15 (WAT) at Shanghai Stadium. Shanghai Shenhua are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Machida Zelvia sit 1st on 12 points.
Form guide
Shanghai Shenhua's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Machida Zelvia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Vissel Kobe 0–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.4 for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.1 for Machida Zelvia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Safer route: Machida Zelvia or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Machida Zelvia or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Shanghai Shenhua 0–1 Machida Zelvia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shanghai Shenhua20%fair 4.98 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Machida Zelvia56%fair 1.79 · @1.85
1.50Expected goals
0.44Shanghai Shenhua xG
1.06Machida Zelvia xG
50%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–124%
0–022%
0–213%
1–110%
1–010%
1–26%
From our goals model: Shanghai Shenhua 0.4 – 1.1 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Double chance
Machida Zelvia or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✓
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
24%
4.22
–
Form
Shanghai Shenhua – last 6
LWDWDW
24 Oct
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Wuhan Three Towns
3–1
W
15 Oct
@ Svay Rieng
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Yunnan Yukun
7–1
W
27 Sep
vs Zenit
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Tampines Rovers
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 6
DWWWWD
24 Oct
@ Vissel Kobe
0–0
D
21 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–0
W
15 Oct
@ Tampines Rovers
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shanghai Shenhua and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Machida Zelvia or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Shanghai Shenhua have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Machida Zelvia 56%.
How many goals will there be in Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Shanghai Shenhua 0–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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