Adelaide United vs Home United prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Adelaide United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAdelaide United to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceAdelaide United or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Adelaide United vs Home United preview and prediction
The match
Adelaide United host Home United in the AFC Cup on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 08:45 (WAT) at Coopers Stadium. Adelaide United are 3rd with 6 points from 4 games, while Home United sit 1st on 10 points.
Form guide
Adelaide United's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Sydney 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Home United's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Tanjong Pagar 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Home United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Adelaide United and 0.6 for Home United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Adelaide United 60%, draw 25%, Home United 15%.
Safer route: Adelaide United or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Adelaide United to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Adelaide United 1–0 Home United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Adelaide United60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
Home United15%fair 6.81 · @3.70
2.25Expected goals
1.60Adelaide United xG
0.65Home United xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Adelaide United 1.6 – 0.6 Home United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Adelaide United to win✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Adelaide United or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Adelaide United / FT Adelaide United✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.93
–
Form
Adelaide United – last 6
LWWLWL
25 Oct
@ Sydney
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ BG Pathum United
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Perth Glory
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Perth Glory
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Wofoo Tai Po
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Công An Nhân Dân
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Home United – last 6
WWWWLD
25 Oct
vs Tanjong Pagar
6–0
W
18 Oct
@ Albirex Niigata S
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ Wofoo Tai Po
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Young Lions
6–1
W
8 Oct
vs Công An Nhân Dân
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adelaide United and Home United.
What is the prediction for Adelaide United vs Home United?
Our pick is Adelaide United to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Home United?
On our numbers Adelaide United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Home United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide United vs Home United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide United vs Home United?
Our predicted score is Adelaide United 1–0 Home United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Adelaide United vs Home United?
Adelaide United vs Home United (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at Coopers Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.