Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee preview and prediction
The match
Phnom Penh Crown host Kitchee in the AFC Cup on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 13:15 (WAT) at Morodok Techo National Stadium. Phnom Penh Crown are 1st with 9 points from 4 games, while Kitchee sit 2nd on 5 points.
Form guide
Phnom Penh Crown's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat National Defense 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kitchee's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Wofoo Tai Po 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Phnom Penh Crown arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Phnom Penh Crown and 0.8 for Kitchee. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Phnom Penh Crown 1–1 Kitchee. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Phnom Penh Crown48%fair 2.09 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Kitchee31%fair 3.19 · @3.10
2.00Expected goals
1.16Phnom Penh Crown xG
0.84Kitchee xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Phnom Penh Crown 1.2 – 0.8 Kitchee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phnom Penh Crown to win✓
48%
2.09
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phnom Penh Crown / FT Phnom Penh Crown✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.38
–
Form
Phnom Penh Crown – last 6
WDWWDD
24 Oct
@ National Defense
2–1
W
19 Oct
vs Life Sihanoukville
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Gangwon FC
2–1
W
17 Sep
vs Kuching FA
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Angkor Tiger
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs NagaWorld
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kitchee – last 6
LWDWLD
24 Oct
@ Wofoo Tai Po
2–4
L
19 Oct
@ Warriors
5–1
W
15 Oct
@ Kuching FA
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Hong Kong FC
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ Eastern
1–3
L
17 Sep
vs Gangwon FC
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Phnom Penh Crown and Kitchee.
What is the prediction for Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee?
On our numbers Phnom Penh Crown have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kitchee 31%.
How many goals will there be in Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee?
Our predicted score is Phnom Penh Crown 1–1 Kitchee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee?
Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Morodok Techo National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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