Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FC prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.12 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMathare United to win ✗54% · fair 1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.63
Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FC preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Mathare United take on Posta Rangers FC on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Mathare United are 16th with 5 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while Posta Rangers FC sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mathare United's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Tusker 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Posta Rangers FC's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Bandari 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mathare United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.1 for Mathare United and 0.7 for Posta Rangers FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mathare United 54%, draw 11%, Posta Rangers FC 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 89% chance. Predicted score: Mathare United 1–0 Posta Rangers FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mathare United54%fair 1.85
Draw11%fair 9.09
Posta Rangers FC35%fair 2.86
1.80Expected goals
1.07Mathare United xG
0.73Posta Rangers FC xG
37%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–017%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mathare United 1.1 – 0.7 Posta Rangers FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mathare United to win✗
54%
1.85
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mathare United / FT Mathare United✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.63
–
Form
Mathare United – last 6
WLDLDW
29 Oct
vs Tusker
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ KCB
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs APS Bomet
0–0
D
2 Oct
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Migori Youth
0–0
D
31 May
vs Bandari
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Posta Rangers FC – last 6
DWLLLL
28 Oct
@ Bandari
0–0
D
23 Oct
vs KCB
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Murang'a SEAL
1–5
L
10 Oct
vs Shabana
0–1
L
2 Oct
vs 3K
1–2
L
31 May
vs Ulinzi Stars
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mathare United and Posta Rangers FC.
What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 89% chance.
Who will win Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FC?
On our numbers Mathare United have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Posta Rangers FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FC?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FC?
Our predicted score is Mathare United 1–0 Posta Rangers FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FC?
Mathare United vs Posta Rangers FC (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
