FKF Premier League · Kenya

Mombasa Elite

LLLLW
2–3
FT

Shabana

DDDWL

Mombasa Elite vs Shabana prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.41 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.41Odds
2

Value bet: Shabana to win @ 2.35 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultShabana to win ✓49% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.39

Win chances

Mombasa Elite27%fair 3.70 · @2.94
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Shabana49%fair 2.04 · @2.35
1.77Expected goals
0.68Mombasa Elite xG
1.09Shabana xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–119%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%

From our goals model: Mombasa Elite 0.7 – 1.1 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Shabana shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 27% for Mombasa Elite.

Mombasa Elite have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Shabana have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 1.8 goals (0.7 for Mombasa Elite, 1.1 for Shabana). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (19%), 0–0 (17%), 1–1 (13%).

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.41 is close to our fair price of 1.45. For a bigger price, Shabana to win at 2.35 is our value angle (49% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShabana to win ✓49%2.042.35 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.31
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.61
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.761.51
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.451.41
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.161.10
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shabana / FT Shabana ✓25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.39–

Form

Mombasa Elite – last 6

LLLLWD
28 Oct@ KCB1–3L
19 Oct@ Mara Sugar1–2L
14 Octvs Homeboyz0–1L
2 Oct@ Migori Youth0–2L
1 Octvs Kariobangi Sharks2–1W
11 Sepvs Police0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Shabana – last 6

DDDWLL
29 Octvs Migori Youth1–1D
25 Oct@ AFC Leopards0–0D
18 Octvs Nairobi United0–0D
10 Oct@ Posta Rangers FC1–0W
2 Octvs Police0–1L
31 Mayvs KCB1–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mombasa Elite and Shabana.

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub →
FT Mara Sugar2 Migori Youth1 382735 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✗ FT 3K0 AFC Leopards0 152659 2AFC Leopards to win 59%@1.91 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.

Who will win Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?

On our numbers Mombasa Elite have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shabana 49%.

How many goals will there be in Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

When is Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?

Mombasa Elite vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.