Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.61
Homeboyz vs Kenya Police preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Homeboyz take on Kenya Police on Saturday 7 November, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Homeboyz are 17th with 5 points from 5 games (in the bottom three), while Kenya Police sit 4th on 9 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Homeboyz's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to GOR Mahia 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.5 for Homeboyz and 0.9 for Kenya Police. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 82% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Homeboyz 33%, draw 11%, Kenya Police 56%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 94% chance. Predicted score: Homeboyz 0–0 Kenya Police. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Homeboyz33%fair 3.03
Draw11%fair 9.09
Kenya Police56%fair 1.79
1.44Expected goals
0.53Homeboyz xG
0.91Kenya Police xG
36%Both score
18%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–024%
0–122%
1–012%
1–111%
0–210%
1–25%
From our goals model: Homeboyz 0.5 – 0.9 Kenya Police expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kenya Police to win✗
56%
1.79
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
94%
1.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
22%
4.61
–
Form
Homeboyz – last 6
LDWLDD
28 Oct
vs GOR Mahia
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Mombasa Elite
1–0
W
2 Oct
@ AFC Leopards
0–2
L
31 May
@ Police
1–1
D
23 May
@ Kariobangi Sharks
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Kenya Police – last 2
WL
29 Oct
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs AFC Leopards
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Homeboyz and Kenya Police.
What is the prediction for Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 94% chance.
Who will win Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
On our numbers Homeboyz have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kenya Police 56%.
How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 18% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
Our predicted score is Homeboyz 0–0 Kenya Police, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
Homeboyz vs Kenya Police (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
