Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.59
Shabana vs Migori Youth preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Shabana take on Migori Youth on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Shabana are 5th with 9 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Migori Youth sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shabana's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with AFC Leopards 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Migori Youth's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Police 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Migori Youth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.3 goals: 0.8 for Shabana and 0.5 for Migori Youth. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shabana 0–0 Migori Youth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shabana47%fair 2.11 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.75
Migori Youth28%fair 3.53 · @3.50
1.33Expected goals
0.82Shabana xG
0.51Migori Youth xG
35%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–027%
1–022%
0–113%
1–111%
2–09%
2–15%
From our goals model: Shabana 0.8 – 0.5 Migori Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabana to win✗
47%
2.11
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.59
–
Form
Shabana – last 6
DDWLLD
25 Oct
@ AFC Leopards
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Nairobi United
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Police
0–1
L
31 May
vs KCB
1–2
L
24 May
@ Sofapaka
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Migori Youth – last 6
DWDDWW
11 Oct
vs Police
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Mombasa Elite
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Mathare United
0–0
D
13 Jun
@ 3K
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Equity Bank
2–1
W
1 Jun
@ Kisumu All Stars
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Migori Youth.
What is the prediction for Shabana vs Migori Youth?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Shabana vs Migori Youth?
On our numbers Shabana have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Migori Youth 28%.
How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Migori Youth?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shabana vs Migori Youth?
Our predicted score is Shabana 0–0 Migori Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Shabana vs Migori Youth?
Shabana vs Migori Youth (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
