Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.74
Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars preview and prediction
The match
Kenya Police host Ulinzi Stars in the FKF Premier League on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 14:15 (WAT). Kenya Police are 4th with 9 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Ulinzi Stars sit 14th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ulinzi Stars's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Homeboyz 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Kenya Police and 0.5 for Ulinzi Stars. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kenya Police 57%, draw 26%, Ulinzi Stars 17%.
Safer route: Kenya Police or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Kenya Police 1–0 Ulinzi Stars. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kenya Police57%fair 1.75 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.00
Ulinzi Stars17%fair 6.03 · @4.33
1.81Expected goals
1.29Kenya Police xG
0.52Ulinzi Stars xG
39%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kenya Police 1.3 – 0.5 Ulinzi Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kenya Police to win✓
57%
1.75
1.83
Double chance
Kenya Police or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kenya Police / FT Kenya Police✓
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.74
–
Form
Kenya Police – last 1
L
20 Oct
vs AFC Leopards
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
DLWDWW
18 Oct
@ Homeboyz
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Tusker
0–2
L
2 Oct
vs Mathare United
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Mara Sugar
0–0
D
31 May
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
27 May
vs Tusker
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kenya Police and Ulinzi Stars.
What is the prediction for Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
On our numbers Kenya Police have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ulinzi Stars 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our predicted score is Kenya Police 1–0 Ulinzi Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
