Thursday, 12 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
1st Division · Albania
2–1
FT

Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Pogradeci to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPogradeci to win ✓74% · @1.22
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.18

Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë preview and prediction

The match

The 1st Division sees Pogradeci take on Kastrioti Krujë on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Pogradeci are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Kastrioti Krujë sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Pogradeci's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Iliria Fushë-Krujë 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kastrioti Krujë's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Burreli 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 7 May 2026, finished Pogradeci 3–0 Kastrioti Krujë.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Pogradeci and 0.5 for Kastrioti Krujë. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 41%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Pogradeci to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pogradeci 2–0 Kastrioti Krujë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Pogradeci74%fair 1.34 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @5.25
Kastrioti Krujë9%fair 10.91 · @9.50
2.55Expected goals
2.04Pogradeci xG
0.51Kastrioti Krujë xG
41%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–016%
1–016%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.0 – 0.5 Kastrioti Krujë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPogradeci to win ✓74%1.341.22
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓91%1.101.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.71–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Half-time resultPogradeci ahead at half-time ✓51%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci ✓48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16%6.18–

Form

Pogradeci – last 6

DDWLLW
5 Sep@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–0D
11 Mayvs Besa Kavajë0–0D
7 Mayvs Kastrioti Krujë3–0W
3 May@ Luftëtari0–3L
19 Apr@ Laci0–2L
22 Mar@ Burreli3–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kastrioti Krujë – last 6

DLWLLW
6 Sep@ Burreli2–2D
7 May@ Pogradeci0–3L
3 May@ Lushnja4–1W
19 Apr@ Skenderbeu Korce0–4L
22 Marvs FK Kukesi0–2L
18 Marvs Burreli5–2W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 May 2026Pogradeci v Kastrioti Krujë3–0
Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë head-to-head page →

1st Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Iliria Fushë-Krujë10631+521
2Besa Kavajë10532+1118
3Bylis10460+518
4FK Kukesi10604+318
5Pogradeci10451+617
6Flamurtari10442+616
7Besëlidhja Lezhë10424+314
8Korabi Peshkopi10334-612
9Kastrioti Krujë10325-211
10Burreli10145-67
11Sopoti Librazhd10145-107
12Oriku10028-152

More 1st Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?

Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?

On our numbers Pogradeci have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kastrioti Krujë 9%.

How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?

Our predicted score is Pogradeci 2–0 Kastrioti Krujë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?

Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.