Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Iliria Fushë-Krujë or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIliria Fushë-Krujë to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceIliria Fushë-Krujë or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.54
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.38
Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi preview and prediction
The match
The 1st Division sees Iliria Fushë-Krujë take on FK Kukesi on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Iliria Fushë-Krujë are 1st with 21 points from 10 games (top of the table), while FK Kukesi sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Iliria Fushë-Krujë's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Pogradeci 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FK Kukesi's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Besëlidhja Lezhë 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Kukesi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–1 FK Kukesi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Iliria Fushë-Krujë and 0.4 for FK Kukesi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Iliria Fushë-Krujë 63%, draw 20%, FK Kukesi 17%.
Safer route: Iliria Fushë-Krujë or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Iliria Fushë-Krujë or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–0 FK Kukesi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iliria Fushë-Krujë63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.30
FK Kukesi17%fair 5.81 · @3.50
1.73Expected goals
1.29Iliria Fushë-Krujë xG
0.44FK Kukesi xG
35%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1.3 – 0.4 FK Kukesi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
Our pick is Iliria Fushë-Krujë or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
On our numbers Iliria Fushë-Krujë have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Kukesi 17%.
How many goals will there be in Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
Our predicted score is Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–0 FK Kukesi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi?
Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs FK Kukesi (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.