Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
2
Value bet: Korabi Peshkopi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKorabi Peshkopi to win ✓40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi preview and prediction
The match
The 1st Division sees Besëlidhja Lezhë take on Korabi Peshkopi on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Besëlidhja Lezhë are 7th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Korabi Peshkopi sit 8th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Korabi Peshkopi's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Oriku 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Besëlidhja Lezhë and 1.1 for Korabi Peshkopi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Korabi Peshkopi to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Besëlidhja Lezhë 0–1 Korabi Peshkopi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Besëlidhja Lezhë37%fair 2.70 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Korabi Peshkopi40%fair 2.48 · @3.10
2.06Expected goals
1.00Besëlidhja Lezhë xG
1.06Korabi Peshkopi xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Besëlidhja Lezhë 1.0 – 1.1 Korabi Peshkopi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korabi Peshkopi to win✓
40%
2.48
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Besëlidhja Lezhë – last 1
L
5 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Korabi Peshkopi – last 6
WDDWDW
6 Sep
vs Oriku
1–0
W
3 May
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ FK Kukesi
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Luftëtari
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Skenderbeu Korce
0–0
D
28 Feb
vs Kastrioti Krujë
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Besëlidhja Lezhë and Korabi Peshkopi.
What is the prediction for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
On our numbers Besëlidhja Lezhë have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Korabi Peshkopi 40%.
How many goals will there be in Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
Our predicted score is Besëlidhja Lezhë 0–1 Korabi Peshkopi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi?
Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Korabi Peshkopi (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
