Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGhaz Al Shamal to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.83
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Ghaz Al Shamal take on Naft Maysan on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Ghaz Al Shamal are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Naft Maysan sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ghaz Al Shamal's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Al Zawra'a 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Naft Maysan's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Diyala 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Ghaz Al Shamal and 0.9 for Naft Maysan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Ghaz Al Shamal 0–0 Naft Maysan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ghaz Al Shamal39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Naft Maysan35%fair 2.84 · @2.70
1.92Expected goals
1.00Ghaz Al Shamal xG
0.92Naft Maysan xG
41%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ghaz Al Shamal 1.0 – 0.9 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ghaz Al Shamal to win✓
39%
2.55
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.83
–
Form
Ghaz Al Shamal – last 6
WLDDDL
18 Oct
vs Al Zawra'a
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Al Minaa Basra
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Newroz
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Al Shorta
0–0
D
8 Sep
@ Duhok
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Al-Jolan SC
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Naft Maysan – last 6
LDLWDL
16 Oct
@ Diyala
0–2
L
8 Oct
vs Erbil
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Al Karkh
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Al Talaba
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Newroz
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ghaz Al Shamal and Naft Maysan.
What is the prediction for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?
On our numbers Ghaz Al Shamal have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Naft Maysan 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?
Our predicted score is Ghaz Al Shamal 0–0 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
