Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Karma to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✗89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Al Minaa Basra take on Al-Karma on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Al Minaa Basra are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Al-Karma sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al Minaa Basra's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Newroz 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al-Karma's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Karma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Al Minaa Basra 2–0 Al-Karma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Al Minaa Basra and 1.8 for Al-Karma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 39%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Minaa Basra 11%, draw 23%, Al-Karma 66%.
Safer route: Al-Karma or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Karma to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Minaa Basra 0–1 Al-Karma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Minaa Basra11%fair 9.02 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Al-Karma66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
2.35Expected goals
0.58Al Minaa Basra xG
1.77Al-Karma xG
39%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
1–110%
0–010%
0–39%
1–29%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 0.6 – 1.8 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Karma 66%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 0–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
