Serie D Girone G · ItalySarrabus Ogliastra vs Unipomezia prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Unipomezia to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.1 – 1.3 Unipomezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Unipomezia shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 33% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
Sarrabus Ogliastra have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Unipomezia have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.1 for Sarrabus Ogliastra, 1.3 for Unipomezia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Unipomezia to win at 2.70 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Unipomezia to win ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | 2.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.99 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.29 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Unipomezia / FT Unipomezia ✗ | 24% | 4.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.08 | – |
Form
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Albalonga | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Certosa V. Campagnano | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Anzio | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Monastir | 1–2 | L |
| 3 May | vs Olbia | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Valmontone | 1–0 | W |
Unipomezia – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Ossese | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Città di Anagni | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Venafro | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Paganese | 1–2 | L |
| 3 May | vs Vigor Senigallia | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Sora | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Unipomezia.
Serie D Girone G table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 2 |  Trastevere | 10 | -1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Albalonga | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 4 |  Monastir | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Certosa V. Campagnano | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Unipomezia | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Anzio | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Afragolese | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Paganese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Ossese | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Città di Anagni | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Budoni | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sarrabus Ogliastra | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Gelbison | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 11 | -11 | 6 |
More Serie D Girone G predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Unipomezia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Unipomezia?
On our numbers Sarrabus Ogliastra have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Unipomezia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Unipomezia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Unipomezia?
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Unipomezia (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.