Serie D Girone G · ItalyCittà di Anagni vs Afragolese prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Città di Anagni 0.9 – 1.6 Afragolese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Afragolese shade it despite being away from home – 58% to win, against 23% for Città di Anagni.
Città di Anagni have taken 3 points from their last 4 matches (1W 0D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.5 per game. Afragolese have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (0.9 for Città di Anagni, 1.6 for Afragolese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.01 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Afragolese to win ✗ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.82 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 2.01 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.80 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Afragolese / FT Afragolese ✗ | 33% | 3.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.20 | – |
Form
Città di Anagni – last 4
| 20 Sep | @ Latte Dolce | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Unipomezia | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Albalonga | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Certosa V. Campagnano | 0–4 | L |
Afragolese – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Venafro | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Paganese | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Sarnese | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Gelbison | 0–0 | D |
| 3 May | @ Francavilla | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | vs Gravina | 0–6 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Anagni and Afragolese.
Serie D Girone G table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 2 |  Trastevere | 10 | -1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Albalonga | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 4 |  Monastir | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Certosa V. Campagnano | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Unipomezia | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Anzio | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Afragolese | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Paganese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Ossese | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Città di Anagni | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Budoni | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sarrabus Ogliastra | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Gelbison | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 11 | -11 | 6 |
More Serie D Girone G predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
On our numbers Città di Anagni have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Afragolese 58%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
Città di Anagni vs Afragolese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.