Value bet: Notaresco to win @ 3.56 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultL'Aquila to win ✗47% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Notaresco vs L'Aquila preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees Notaresco take on L'Aquila on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Notaresco are 8th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while L'Aquila sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Notaresco's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Lanciano FC 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
L'Aquila's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Real Normanna 0–6 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
L'Aquila arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 April 2026, finished L'Aquila 0–2 Notaresco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Notaresco and 1.5 for L'Aquila. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Notaresco to win at 3.56 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Notaresco 1–1 L'Aquila. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Notaresco31%fair 3.24 · @3.56
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.05
L'Aquila47%fair 2.15 · @2.06
2.64Expected goals
1.15Notaresco xG
1.49L'Aquila xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Notaresco 1.1 – 1.5 L'Aquila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
On our numbers Notaresco have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and L'Aquila 47%.
How many goals will there be in Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
Our predicted score is Notaresco 1–1 L'Aquila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
Notaresco vs L'Aquila (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
