Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTurris to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceTurris or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Turris vs Gravina preview and prediction
The match
Gravina travel to Stadio Amerigo Liguori in the Serie D Girone H on Wednesday 16 September (16:00 WAT) to face Turris. Turris are 5th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Gravina sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gravina's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Gladiator 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Turris and 1.1 for Gravina. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Turris 57%, draw 25%, Gravina 18%.
Safer route: Turris or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Turris or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Turris 2–1 Gravina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Turris57%fair 1.75 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
Gravina18%fair 5.53 · @3.40
3.16Expected goals
2.05Turris xG
1.11Gravina xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Turris 2.0 – 1.1 Gravina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turris to win✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Turris or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Turris ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turris / FT Turris✗
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Turris – last 2
DW
13 Sep
@ USD Palmese
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Martina Franca
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gravina – last 6
WWWWWD
12 Sep
vs Gladiator
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Fidelis Andria
3–1
W
3 May
vs Real Normanna
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ Afragolese
6–0
W
19 Apr
vs Paganese
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Martina Franca
0–0
D
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Turris and Gravina.
Our pick is Turris or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Turris vs Gravina?
On our numbers Turris have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gravina 18%.
How many goals will there be in Turris vs Gravina?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turris vs Gravina?
Our predicted score is Turris 2–1 Gravina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Turris vs Gravina?
Turris vs Gravina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Amerigo Liguori.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
