Serie D Girone H · Italy · Stadio Giovanni Paolo IIVirtus Francavilla vs Brindisi prediction & analysis
Virtus Francavilla to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.8 – 0.8 Brindisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Virtus Francavilla are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 17% for Brindisi.
Virtus Francavilla have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Brindisi have 3 points from their last 2 (1W 0D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Virtus Francavilla, 0.8 for Brindisi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Virtus Francavilla to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Virtus Francavilla or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Half-time result | Virtus Francavilla ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla ✓ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.83 | – |
Form
Virtus Francavilla – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Melfi | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs USD Palmese | 3–1 | W |
| 3 May | vs Sarnese | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Pompei | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Francavilla | 0–3 | L |
| 2 Apr | @ Afragolese | 2–2 | D |
Brindisi – last 2
| 12 Sep | vs Fidelis Andria | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Real Forio 2014 | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Brindisi.
Serie D Girone H table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Francavilla | 11 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Martina Franca | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Brindisi | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gravina | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Turris | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Gladiator | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Fidelis Andria | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bisceglie | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Normanna | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nocerina | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Real Forio 2014 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Melfi | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Ebolitana | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Ischia | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone H predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brindisi 17%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.