Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNocerina to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceNocerina or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Nocerina vs Ischia preview and prediction
The match
Ischia travel to face Nocerina in the Serie D Girone H on Wednesday 16 September (19:00 WAT). Nocerina are 12th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Ischia sit 16th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Nocerina's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Manfredonia 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ischia's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Real Normanna 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ischia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Nocerina 0–1 Ischia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Nocerina and 0.8 for Ischia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nocerina 65%, draw 20%, Ischia 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nocerina to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nocerina 1–0 Ischia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nocerina65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.40
Ischia15%fair 6.81 · @4.75
2.68Expected goals
1.92Nocerina xG
0.76Ischia xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nocerina 1.9 – 0.8 Ischia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Nocerina to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Nocerina vs Ischia?
On our numbers Nocerina have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ischia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nocerina vs Ischia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nocerina vs Ischia?
Our predicted score is Nocerina 1–0 Ischia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nocerina vs Ischia?
Nocerina vs Ischia (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
