Value bet: Brian Lignano to win @ 3.56 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Obermais to win ✗46% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.15
FC Obermais vs Brian Lignano preview and prediction
The match
Brian Lignano travel to face FC Obermais in the Serie D Girone C on Sunday 25 October (14:30 WAT). FC Obermais are 11th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Brian Lignano sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
FC Obermais's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Legnago Salus 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Brian Lignano's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Altavilla 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for FC Obermais and 1.2 for Brian Lignano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Obermais 46%, draw 23%, Brian Lignano 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Brian Lignano to win at 3.56 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: FC Obermais 1–1 Brian Lignano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Obermais46%fair 2.17 · @2.06
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.05
Brian Lignano31%fair 3.18 · @3.56
2.74Expected goals
1.53FC Obermais xG
1.21Brian Lignano xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: FC Obermais 1.5 – 1.2 Brian Lignano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Obermais to win✗
46%
2.17
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Obermais / FT FC Obermais✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
FC Obermais – last 6
LWLDLD
18 Oct
@ Legnago Salus
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Schio
3–0
W
4 Oct
@ Triestina
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Mestre
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Conegliano
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs LME
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brian Lignano – last 6
LLDLWL
18 Oct
vs Altavilla
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Bassano Virtus
0–1
L
7 Oct
@ Cjarlins Muzane
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Luparense
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Calvi Noale
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Clodiense
3–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Obermais and Brian Lignano.
What is the prediction for FC Obermais vs Brian Lignano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win FC Obermais vs Brian Lignano?
On our numbers FC Obermais have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brian Lignano 31%.
How many goals will there be in FC Obermais vs Brian Lignano?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Obermais vs Brian Lignano?
Our predicted score is FC Obermais 1–1 Brian Lignano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Obermais vs Brian Lignano?
FC Obermais vs Brian Lignano (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
