Serie D Girone C · ItalyCalvi Noale vs Este prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Calvi Noale 1.2 – 0.9 Este expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Calvi Noale hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Este.
Calvi Noale have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Este have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.2 for Calvi Noale, 0.9 for Este). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Calvi Noale have won 1, Este have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.66.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Calvi Noale to win ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Calvi Noale / FT Calvi Noale ✗ | 24% | 4.13 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 6.95 | – |
Form
Calvi Noale – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Clodiense | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Sandona | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Virtus Bolzano | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Brian Lignano | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Legnago Salus | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Schio | 0–0 | D |
Este – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs LME | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Luparense | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Caldiero Terme | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Conegliano | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Sandona | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Cjarlins Muzane | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 3 Apr 2026 | Este v Calvi Noale | 0–2 |
Serie D Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cjarlins Muzane | 11 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Luparense | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Sandona | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Clodiense | 11 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Campodarsego | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Mestre | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Legnago Salus | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Este | 11 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Conegliano | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Bassano Virtus | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  FC Obermais | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Triestina | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 |  LME | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Altavilla | 11 | +5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Virtus Bolzano | 11 | -16 | 11 |
| 16 |  Calvi Noale | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 |  Schio | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Brian Lignano | 11 | -11 | 5 |
More Serie D Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Calvi Noale vs Este?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Calvi Noale vs Este?
On our numbers Calvi Noale have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Este 32%.
How many goals will there be in Calvi Noale vs Este?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Calvi Noale vs Este?
Calvi Noale vs Este (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.