Value bet: Altavilla to win @ 3.70 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLuparense to win ✗45% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.55
Altavilla vs Luparense preview and prediction
The match
Altavilla host Luparense in the Serie D Girone C on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Altavilla are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Luparense sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Altavilla's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Brian Lignano 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Luparense's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Sandona 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Luparense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Luparense 1–1 Altavilla.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Altavilla and 1.4 for Luparense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Altavilla to win at 3.70 – 33% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Altavilla 1–1 Luparense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Altavilla33%fair 3.03 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Luparense45%fair 2.24 · @2.02
2.62Expected goals
1.18Altavilla xG
1.43Luparense xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Altavilla 1.2 – 1.4 Luparense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Altavilla vs Luparense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Altavilla vs Luparense?
On our numbers Altavilla have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Luparense 45%.
How many goals will there be in Altavilla vs Luparense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altavilla vs Luparense?
Our predicted score is Altavilla 1–1 Luparense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Altavilla vs Luparense?
Altavilla vs Luparense (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
