Value bet: Villa Valle to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Valle to win ✗44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.84
Tritium vs Villa Valle preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone B sees Tritium take on Villa Valle on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Tritium are 18th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Villa Valle sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Villa Valle's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Tritium and 1.4 for Villa Valle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tritium 33%, draw 22%, Villa Valle 44%.
Value angle: Villa Valle to win at 2.70 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Tritium 1–1 Villa Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tritium33%fair 2.99 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Villa Valle44%fair 2.26 · @2.70
2.48Expected goals
1.13Tritium xG
1.35Villa Valle xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Tritium 1.1 – 1.4 Villa Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Valle to win✗
44%
2.26
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Valle / FT Villa Valle✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.84
–
Form
Tritium – last 2
LL
12 Sep
@ Brusaporto
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Piacenza
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Villa Valle – last 6
DDLLDD
13 Sep
vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Virtus Verona
2–2
D
3 May
@ Breno
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Oltrepò
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Caldiero Terme
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Milan II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tritium and Villa Valle.
What is the prediction for Tritium vs Villa Valle?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Tritium vs Villa Valle?
On our numbers Tritium have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Villa Valle 44%.
How many goals will there be in Tritium vs Villa Valle?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tritium vs Villa Valle?
Our predicted score is Tritium 1–1 Villa Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tritium vs Villa Valle?
Tritium vs Villa Valle (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
