Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeon to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Leon vs Piacenza preview and prediction
The match
Piacenza travel to face Leon in the Serie D Girone B on Wednesday 16 September (14:00 WAT). Leon are 5th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Piacenza sit 4th on 21 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leon's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Caldiero Terme 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Piacenza's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Virtus Verona 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Piacenza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Leon and 1.0 for Piacenza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leon 44%, draw 22%, Piacenza 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Leon 1–1 Piacenza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leon44%fair 2.27 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Piacenza34%fair 2.93 · @2.62
2.23Expected goals
1.22Leon xG
1.02Piacenza xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Leon 1.2 – 1.0 Piacenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leon to win✗
44%
2.27
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leon / FT Leon✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Leon – last 6
DWLLDD
13 Sep
@ Caldiero Terme
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Brusaporto
2–0
W
10 May
@ USD Casatese
0–4
L
3 May
@ USD Casatese
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Chievo
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Scanzorosciate
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Piacenza – last 6
LWWDWW
13 Sep
vs Virtus Verona
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Tritium
2–1
W
17 May
@ Lentigione
2–0
W
10 May
@ Pistoiese
1–1
D
3 May
vs Crema
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Pro Sesto
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and Piacenza.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Leon vs Piacenza?
On our numbers Leon have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Piacenza 34%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Piacenza?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Piacenza?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Piacenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Piacenza?
Leon vs Piacenza (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
