Serie D Girone B · Italy · Stadio comunaleFiorenzuola vs Pro Palazzolo prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Value bet: Fiorenzuola to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fiorenzuola 1.3 – 1.4 Pro Palazzolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Fiorenzuola and Pro Palazzolo on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Fiorenzuola have taken 0 points from their last 2 matches (0W 0D 2L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Pro Palazzolo have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. Pro Palazzolo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 for Fiorenzuola, 1.4 for Pro Palazzolo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.88. For a bigger price, Fiorenzuola to win at 3.10 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pro Palazzolo to win ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Pro Palazzolo / FT Pro Palazzolo ✓ | 23% | 4.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 9% | 10.66 | – |
Form
Fiorenzuola – last 2
| 13 Sep | @ Nibbiano & Valtidone | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Scanzorosciate | 0–1 | L |
Pro Palazzolo – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Milan II | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Real Calepina | 1–5 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Union Brescia | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | @ Lentigione | 2–3 | L |
| 3 May | vs Coriano | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Cittadella Vis Modena | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorenzuola and Pro Palazzolo.
Serie D Girone B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chievo | 11 | +16 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nibbiano & Valtidone | 11 | +9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Milan II | 11 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 |  Piacenza | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Caldiero Terme | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Villa Valle | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Pavonese | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Scanzorosciate | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Pro Palazzolo | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Calepina | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Virtus Verona | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Club Milano | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Rovato Vertovese | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 |  Brusaporto | 11 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 |  Fiorenzuola | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Tritium | 11 | -10 | 6 |
More Serie D Girone B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fiorenzuola vs Pro Palazzolo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Pro Palazzolo?
On our numbers Fiorenzuola have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pro Palazzolo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorenzuola vs Pro Palazzolo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Fiorenzuola vs Pro Palazzolo?
Fiorenzuola vs Pro Palazzolo (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.