Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLigorna to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Ligorna vs Bra preview and prediction
The match
Ligorna host Bra in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Ligorna are 5th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Bra sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ligorna's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Gozzano 4–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Bra's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Saluzzo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ligorna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Ligorna and 0.9 for Bra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ligorna 59%, draw 20%, Bra 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ligorna to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Ligorna 1–0 Bra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ligorna59%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.60
Bra21%fair 4.86 · @4.50
2.67Expected goals
1.77Ligorna xG
0.90Bra xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.8 – 0.9 Bra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Form
Ligorna – last 6
WWWWLL
11 Oct
@ Gozzano
4–0
W
4 Oct
vs Saluzzo
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Chisola
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Celle Varazze
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Derthona
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Biellese
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bra – last 6
DWLDLL
11 Oct
vs Saluzzo
1–1
D
7 Oct
vs Celle Varazze
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Sanremese
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Borgosesia
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Biellese
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Lascaris
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Bra.
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ligorna vs Bra?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bra 21%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Bra?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Bra?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Bra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Bra?
Ligorna vs Bra (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
