Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensor Sporting to win ✗38% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.05
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Largo host Defensor Sporting in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Cerro Largo are 15th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Defensor Sporting sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cerro Largo's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Wanderers 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Defensor Sporting's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Liverpool Montevideo 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Cerro Largo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 July 2026, finished Cerro Largo 1–1 Defensor Sporting. Across their last 2 meetings Cerro Largo have won 0, Defensor Sporting 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Cerro Largo and 1.1 for Defensor Sporting. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro Largo 37%, draw 25%, Defensor Sporting 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cerro Largo 1–1 Defensor Sporting. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Largo37%fair 2.71 · @2.78
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Defensor Sporting38%fair 2.66 · @2.52
2.09Expected goals
1.04Cerro Largo xG
1.05Defensor Sporting xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.0 – 1.1 Defensor Sporting expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Defensor Sporting 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–1 Defensor Sporting, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
