Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
League Cup · England · City Ground

Nottingham Forest

LWWLL
0–2
FT

Leeds

WWDWW

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Leeds to win @ 3.30 – our chance 41% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultLeeds to win ✓41% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.98

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds preview and prediction

The match

Leeds travel to City Ground in the League Cup on Tuesday 25 August (20:00 WAT) to face Nottingham Forest.

Form guide

Nottingham Forest's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Leeds 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Leeds's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Nottingham Forest 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Leeds arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Nottingham Forest and 1.4 for Leeds. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Leeds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nottingham Forest35%fair 2.82 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.35
Leeds41%fair 2.45 · @3.30
2.61Expected goals
1.25Nottingham Forest xG
1.36Leeds xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 1.2 – 1.4 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeeds to win ✓41%2.453.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leeds / FT Leeds ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.98–

Form

Nottingham Forest – last 6

LWWLLL
22 Augvs Leeds0–1L
16 Augvs Stade Brestois 292–0W
12 Augvs Bayer Leverkusen2–1W
8 Aug@ Barcelona0–1L
8 Aug@ Udinese0–1L
31 Jul@ Sporting CP1–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Leeds – last 6

WWDWWW
22 Aug@ Nottingham Forest1–0W
15 Augvs FC Augsburg4–0W
12 Augvs Manchester United1–1D
8 Augvs RB Leipzig2–0W
2 Aug@ Liverpool4–2W
31 Jul@ Sunderland1–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Nottingham Forest v Leeds0–1
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cardiff1 Norwich2 134%2.68X21%3.55246%2.42 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Doncaster1 Middlesbrough3 117%5.10X18%4.10265%1.59 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Barnsley3 Crewe2 167%1.60X20%4.20213%4.80 1Barnsley to win 67%@1.60 ✓
FT Blackpool1 Lincoln4 119%3.60X25%3.55257%1.95 X2Lincoln or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Cambridge United0 Millwall1 135%3.20X22%3.35243%2.20 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Ipswich3 Leicester1 165%1.60X22%3.90213%4.50 1Ipswich to win 65%@1.60 ✓
FT Southampton1 West Ham4 138%2.44X22%3.60240%2.60 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage0 Reading3 140%2.28X24%3.25236%3.10 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leeds 41%.

How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 1–1 Leeds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.