Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Lincoln to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLincoln to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceLincoln or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Blackpool vs Lincoln preview and prediction
The match
Blackpool host Lincoln in the League Cup on Tuesday 25 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Bloomfield Road.
Form guide
Blackpool's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Stockport County 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Lincoln's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Portsmouth 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Blackpool and 2.0 for Lincoln. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Blackpool 19%, draw 25%, Lincoln 57%.
Safer route: Lincoln or draw (81%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Lincoln to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lincoln or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Blackpool 1–2 Lincoln. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blackpool19%fair 5.40 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.55
Lincoln57%fair 1.77 · @1.95
3.14Expected goals
1.11Blackpool xG
2.03Lincoln xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Blackpool 1.1 – 2.0 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lincoln to win✓
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Lincoln or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.38
Half-time result
Lincoln ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lincoln / FT Lincoln✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Blackpool – last 6
WDWLLL
22 Aug
@ Stockport County
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Wycombe
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Grimsby
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Port Vale
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Barrow
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Tranmere
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
LLWLWL
22 Aug
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Derby
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Barnsley
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Doncaster
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Grimsby
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackpool and Lincoln.
Our pick is Lincoln or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Blackpool vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Blackpool have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lincoln 57%.
How many goals will there be in Blackpool vs Lincoln?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackpool vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Blackpool 1–2 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Blackpool vs Lincoln?
Blackpool vs Lincoln (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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