Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWest Ham to win ✓40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Southampton vs West Ham preview and prediction
The match
The League Cup sees Southampton take on West Ham on Tuesday 25 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at St. Mary's Stadium.
Form guide
Southampton's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Stoke City 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
West Ham's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Charlton 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Southampton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Southampton and 1.5 for West Ham. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Southampton 38%, draw 22%, West Ham 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Southampton 1–1 West Ham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southampton38%fair 2.65 · @2.44
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
West Ham40%fair 2.51 · @2.60
2.97Expected goals
1.46Southampton xG
1.51West Ham xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Southampton 1.5 – 1.5 West Ham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Ham to win✓
40%
2.51
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Ham / FT West Ham✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.71
–
Form
Southampton – last 6
WLWWWW
22 Aug
vs Stoke City
3–1
W
16 Aug
@ Watford
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Colchester
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Preußen Münster
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Eastleigh
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
West Ham – last 6
LDWDDW
22 Aug
vs Charlton
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Burnley
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Portsmouth
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ 1. FC Magdeburg
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Rangers
0–0
D
22 Jul
@ Stevenage
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southampton and West Ham.
What is the prediction for Southampton vs West Ham?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Southampton vs West Ham?
On our numbers Southampton have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and West Ham 40%.
How many goals will there be in Southampton vs West Ham?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs West Ham?
Our predicted score is Southampton 1–1 West Ham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Southampton vs West Ham?
Southampton vs West Ham (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at St. Mary's Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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