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League Cup · England · bet365 Stadium
1–1
FTPens 4–5

Stoke City vs Hull City prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultHull City to win ✗38% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.51

Stoke City vs Hull City preview and prediction

The match

Stoke City host Hull City in the League Cup on Tuesday 25 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at bet365 Stadium.

Form guide

Stoke City's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Southampton 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Hull City's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Manchester United 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Stoke City and 1.1 for Hull City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Stoke City 1–1 Hull City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Stoke City38%fair 2.65 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Hull City38%fair 2.61 · @2.35
2.28Expected goals
1.13Stoke City xG
1.14Hull City xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Stoke City 1.1 – 1.1 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHull City to win ✗38%2.612.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hull City / FT Hull City ✗20%4.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.51–

Form

Stoke City – last 6

LLWDWW
22 Aug@ Southampton1–3L
15 Augvs Swansea1–2L
8 Augvs Oldham2–0W
1 Augvs Valencia1–1D
28 Julvs Everton1–0W
21 Jul@ Chester1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hull City – last 6

WDLDWW
22 Augvs Manchester United2–0W
15 Augvs Nice0–0D
8 Aug@ Eintracht Frankfurt0–2L
1 Aug@ Kasımpaşa1–1D
28 Jul@ Rizespor2–1W
25 Jul@ Konyaspor3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Hull City.

Stoke City vs Hull City head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Hull City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Stoke City vs Hull City?

On our numbers Stoke City have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hull City 38%.

How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Hull City?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Hull City?

Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Stoke City vs Hull City?

Stoke City vs Hull City (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at bet365 Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.