Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHull City to win ✗38% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Stoke City vs Hull City preview and prediction
The match
Stoke City host Hull City in the League Cup on Tuesday 25 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at bet365 Stadium.
Form guide
Stoke City's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Southampton 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hull City's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Manchester United 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Stoke City and 1.1 for Hull City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stoke City 38%, draw 24%, Hull City 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Stoke City to win at 2.95 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Stoke City 1–1 Hull City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stoke City38%fair 2.65 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Hull City38%fair 2.61 · @2.35
2.28Expected goals
1.13Stoke City xG
1.14Hull City xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.1 – 1.1 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hull City to win✗
38%
2.61
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hull City / FT Hull City✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Stoke City – last 6
LLWDWW
22 Aug
@ Southampton
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swansea
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Oldham
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Valencia
1–1
D
28 Jul
vs Everton
1–0
W
21 Jul
@ Chester
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hull City – last 6
WDLDWW
22 Aug
vs Manchester United
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Nice
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Kasımpaşa
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Rizespor
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Konyaspor
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Hull City.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Hull City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Stoke City vs Hull City?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hull City 38%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Hull City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Hull City?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Hull City?
Stoke City vs Hull City (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at bet365 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.