Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTottenham to win ✓74% · @1.23
Double chanceTottenham or draw ✓93% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Tottenham vs Charlton preview and prediction
The match
Charlton travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the League Cup on Wednesday 26 August (19:45 WAT) to face Tottenham.
Form guide
Tottenham's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Brentford 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Charlton's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat West Ham 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Charlton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.8 for Tottenham and 0.9 for Charlton. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tottenham 74%, draw 19%, Charlton 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tottenham to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Tottenham 2–0 Charlton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tottenham74%fair 1.35 · @1.23
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @6.00
Charlton7%fair 14.40 · @11.00
3.65Expected goals
2.77Tottenham xG
0.89Charlton xG
56%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
1–16%
From our goals model: Tottenham 2.8 – 0.9 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tottenham to win✓
74%
1.35
1.23
Double chance
Tottenham or draw✓
93%
1.07
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.67
Half-time result
Tottenham ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tottenham / FT Tottenham✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Tottenham – last 6
LDWDWD
22 Aug
@ Brentford
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Getafe
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Chelsea
2–1
W
29 Jul
vs Sydney
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charlton – last 6
WWWLWL
22 Aug
@ West Ham
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Derby
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cheltenham
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ Reading
0–3
L
28 Jul
@ Colchester
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ AFC Wimbledon
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tottenham and Charlton.
Our pick is Tottenham to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Tottenham vs Charlton?
On our numbers Tottenham have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Charlton 7%.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham vs Charlton?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Charlton?
Our predicted score is Tottenham 2–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tottenham vs Charlton?
Tottenham vs Charlton (League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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