Value bet: Bradford to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurnley to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.36
Bradford vs Burnley preview and prediction
The match
Burnley travel to Valley Parade in the League Cup on Wednesday 26 August (19:45 WAT) to face Bradford.
Form guide
Bradford's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Burnley's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to West Brom 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Bradford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Bradford and 1.3 for Burnley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bradford 34%, draw 24%, Burnley 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Bradford to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Bradford 1–1 Burnley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bradford34%fair 2.91 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.35
Burnley42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
2.53Expected goals
1.19Bradford xG
1.35Burnley xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bradford 1.2 – 1.3 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley to win✗
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley / FT Burnley✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.36
–
Form
Bradford – last 6
WWWDWL
20 Aug
@ Sheffield Wednesday
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Peterborough
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Rochdale
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Salford City
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Preston
3–2
W
17 Jul
@ Accrington ST
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
LDDLDL
23 Aug
@ West Brom
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs West Ham
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Notts County
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Torino
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs Espanyol
2–2
D
26 Jul
@ Ajax
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bradford and Burnley.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bradford vs Burnley?
On our numbers Bradford have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Burnley 42%.
How many goals will there be in Bradford vs Burnley?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bradford vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Bradford 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bradford vs Burnley?
Bradford vs Burnley (League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Valley Parade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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West Brom2
Tottenham5
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Preston0
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