Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Alef sees Hapoel Sderot take on Hapoel Herzliya on Monday 19 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Hapoel Sderot's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Hapoel Rahat 4–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hapoel Herzliya's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Hapoel Azor 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Hapoel Sderot and 1.2 for Hapoel Herzliya. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Hapoel Herzliya to win – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Sderot 0–1 Hapoel Herzliya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Sderot29%fair 3.47 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.25
Hapoel Herzliya50%fair 1.98 · @2.10
1.92Expected goals
0.75Hapoel Sderot xG
1.17Hapoel Herzliya xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Hapoel Sderot 0.8 – 1.2 Hapoel Herzliya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Herzliya to win✗
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Herzliya / FT Hapoel Herzliya✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.85
–
Form
Hapoel Sderot – last 6
WLDLWL
12 Oct
@ Hapoel Rahat
4–1
W
9 Oct
@ Dimona
1–4
L
1 Oct
vs Hapoel Azor
0–0
D
23 Sep
@ Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Herzliya – last 6
LDDWDW
12 Oct
vs Hapoel Azor
0–1
L
8 Oct
vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0–0
D
30 Sep
@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tira
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Yavne
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Nordia Jerusalem
3–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Sderot and Hapoel Herzliya.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Our pick is Hapoel Herzliya to win with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya?
On our numbers Hapoel Sderot have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Herzliya 50%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Sderot 0–1 Hapoel Herzliya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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