Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Tira to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Umm al-Fahm to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm host Tira in the Liga Alef on Monday 19 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are 16th with 11 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Tira sit 2nd on 42 points (in the top four). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat FC Shefa-Amr 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tira's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tira arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and 1.4 for Tira. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Tira to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Tira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm43%fair 2.35 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Tira35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
2.91Expected goals
1.54Hapoel Umm al-Fahm xG
1.37Tira xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.5 – 1.4 Tira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to win✗
43%
2.35
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Umm al-Fahm / FT Hapoel Umm al-Fahm✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Form
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm – last 6
WDDDWD
13 Oct
vs FC Shefa-Amr
3–2
W
9 Oct
@ Beitar Nahariya
1–1
D
1 Oct
vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
3–3
D
9 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tira – last 6
WWWDDW
12 Oct
vs Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha
3–2
W
8 Oct
vs Ironi Nesher
2–1
W
30 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
3–2
W
23 Sep
vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and Tira.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
On our numbers Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tira 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Tira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira (Liga Alef) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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