Value bet: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Ironi Karmiel to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 36.79
Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel travel to face Hapoel Beit Shean in the Liga Alef on Monday 19 October (13:00 WAT). Hapoel Beit Shean are 7th with 32 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th on 33 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hapoel Beit Shean's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Hapoel Beit Shean and 1.3 for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Hapoel Beit Shean 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Beit Shean39%fair 2.59 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel39%fair 2.55 · @2.75
2.52Expected goals
1.25Hapoel Beit Shean xG
1.27Hapoel Ironi Karmiel xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Hapoel Beit Shean 1.3 – 1.3 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win✗
39%
2.55
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel / FT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
3%
36.79
–
Form
Hapoel Beit Shean – last 6
DWWLDW
16 Oct
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1–1
D
12 Oct
@ Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
4–0
W
30 Sep
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
2–1
W
23 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Tira
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel – last 6
WWDDDW
12 Oct
vs Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona
2–0
W
8 Oct
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
1 Oct
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Beit Shean and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
On our numbers Hapoel Beit Shean have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Beit Shean 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (Liga Alef) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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