Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Hapoel Hadera or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hapoel Hadera to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Hadera to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceHapoel Hadera or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod preview and prediction
The match
Maccabi Ashdod travel to Netanya Stadium in the Liga Alef on Thursday 24 September (18:15 WAT) to face Hapoel Hadera.
Form guide
Hapoel Hadera's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Kfar Saba 1928 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Maccabi Ashdod's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Ironi Beit Shemesh 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Hapoel Hadera and 0.8 for Maccabi Ashdod. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Hapoel Hadera to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hapoel Hadera or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Hadera 1–0 Maccabi Ashdod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Hadera62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Maccabi Ashdod15%fair 6.66 · @3.60
2.61Expected goals
1.84Hapoel Hadera xG
0.78Maccabi Ashdod xG
47%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Hadera 1.8 – 0.8 Maccabi Ashdod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Hadera to win✗
62%
1.61
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Hadera or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Hadera ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Hadera / FT Hapoel Hadera✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.43
–
Form
Hapoel Hadera – last 6
WDLLDD
17 Sep
@ Kfar Saba 1928
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
2–2
D
4 Sep
@ Hapoel Marmorek
0–1
L
25 May
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1–6
L
19 May
@ Hapoel Acre
0–0
D
14 May
vs Hapoel Ra'anana
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ashdod – last 5
DDLDD
18 Sep
vs Ironi Beit Shemesh
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ FC Jerusalem
1–1
D
3 Sep
vs Hapoel Herzliya
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Hapoel Marmorek
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ FC Jerusalem
3–3
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Hadera and Maccabi Ashdod.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Our pick is Hapoel Hadera or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
On our numbers Hapoel Hadera have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maccabi Ashdod 15%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Hadera 1–0 Maccabi Ashdod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Netanya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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