Value bet: Hapoel Ironi Arraba to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Ironi Arraba to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba preview and prediction
The match
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed host Hapoel Ironi Arraba in the Liga Alef on Thursday 24 September, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed are 14th with 17 points from 21 games (in the bottom three), while Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Hapoel Ironi Arraba's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed and 1.6 for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hapoel Ironi Arraba to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed37%fair 2.71 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Hapoel Ironi Arraba41%fair 2.47 · @2.90
3.03Expected goals
1.47Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed xG
1.56Hapoel Ironi Arraba xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1.5 – 1.6 Hapoel Ironi Arraba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Ironi Arraba to win✗
41%
2.47
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Ironi Arraba / FT Hapoel Ironi Arraba✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed – last 5
LLLLW
18 Sep
vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2–4
L
9 Sep
@ Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
1–3
L
4 Sep
vs Tira
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Hapoel Ironi Arraba – last 5
LLWLL
19 Sep
vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
0–4
L
6 Sep
vs Beitar Nahariya
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Tzeirey Tamra
0–3
L
13 Feb
@ Ironi Nesher
1–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed and Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
On our numbers Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Ironi Arraba 41%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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