Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek host Hapoel Nazareth Illit in the Liga Alef on Thursday 24 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 4–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.6 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and 1.6 for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek39%fair 2.54 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Hapoel Nazareth Illit38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
3.19Expected goals
1.61Hapoel Migdal HaEmek xG
1.58Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1.6 – 1.6 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win✗
39%
2.54
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek / FT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek – last 5
WDWWL
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Tzeirey Tamra
2–0
W
19 Feb
vs Ironi Nesher
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
2–4
L
2.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
WDDLDL
9 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2–2
D
25 May
vs Hapoel Acre
2–2
D
19 May
vs Ironi Modi'in
0–2
L
11 May
@ Kafr Qasim
1–1
D
4 May
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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