Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 preview and prediction
The match
The National League Cup sees Wealdstone take on Derby County U21 on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Grosvenor Vale.
Form guide
Wealdstone's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Southend 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Derby County U21's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Hull City U21 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Wealdstone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.5 for Wealdstone and 1.4 for Derby County U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wealdstone 62%, draw 17%, Derby County U21 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.51.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Wealdstone 2–1 Derby County U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wealdstone62%fair 1.61 · @1.52
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @4.20
Derby County U2121%fair 4.86 · @4.50
3.96Expected goals
2.54Wealdstone xG
1.43Derby County U21 xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Wealdstone 2.5 – 1.4 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wealdstone to win✗
62%
1.61
1.52
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.51
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.61
Half-time result
Wealdstone ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wealdstone / FT Wealdstone✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
Wealdstone – last 6
WLWWWL
31 Oct
vs Southend
3–2
W
27 Oct
vs Solihull Moors
2–3
L
24 Oct
@ Aldershot Town
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Nottingham Forest U21
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Worthing
3–0
W
10 Oct
vs Yeovil Town
0–6
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Derby County U21 – last 6
LLWDLL
2 Nov
@ Hull City U21
0–1
L
26 Oct
vs Norwich City U21
3–4
L
19 Oct
@ Birmingham City U21
4–0
W
13 Oct
@ Scunthorpe
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Brentford U21
2–4
L
18 Sep
@ Burnley U21
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wealdstone and Derby County U21.
What is the prediction for Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
On our numbers Wealdstone have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Derby County U21 21%.
How many goals will there be in Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
Our predicted score is Wealdstone 2–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Grosvenor Vale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Boston United1
Leicester City U210
FC Halifax Town3
Nottingham Forest U214
Gateshead3
Stoke City U211
Hartlepool3
Leeds United U211
AFC Hornchurch2
West Ham United U210
Sutton Utd0
Southampton U210
Truro City1
West Bromwich Albion U210
Braintree3
Norwich City U211